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00:00.0
So we've got the United States again winning the medal table.
00:26.5
Whether you rank that on total medals as they do in the States or on golds, as most of the rest of the world does.
00:36.0
China in second place.
00:37.6
Sorry, I should say United States 112 medals.
00:40.9
China in second place on 86.
00:44.9
And then there's a big gap.
00:46.9
And then we have Great Britain on 63 medals.
00:49.9
The host nation, France, on 60 medals, which is obviously quite a big jump from the last Olympics.
00:55.9
And Australia on 54, which is also a decent jump up from the last one.
01:02.0
So that's the top five.
01:06.8
Well, not really.
01:08.2
Look at that funky finger.
01:25.9
France on 60 medals.
01:27.1
I think they won 33 three years ago.
01:30.6
So that is indeed quite a big jump.
01:33.3
And, yeah, you have to really put it down to that home advantage, which is based on then, you know, the investment really in the country into sports from the time that they get the hosting onwards.
02:23.8
It'll make a difference to the...
02:25.9
Predictions that we have because certainly last time around, we couldn't predict China properly because they hadn't been competing in events.
02:34.0
So this time around, I'd be more confident of what we have than what we had last time.
02:39.3
Does it make a difference to the overall medal table?
02:44.0
I don't think so.
02:46.1
I think with obviously with COVID, it meant that there were not a great deal of competitions for more than a year.
02:54.6
But people were still...
02:55.9
You know, keeping themselves in the shape they needed to be in.
03:00.2
And for most countries, they were competing at a decent level for quite a little bit of time before the Tokyo Olympics actually took place.
03:11.3
Composé en leur cœur, de ce morceau jusqu'au bout.
03:16.8
Donc, c'est un clin d'œil, bien évidemment, à l'idée dont je vous parlais.
03:20.0
Donc, sur cette face olympique, on va trouver, et sur, bien évidemment...
03:24.2
Bien évidemment.
03:25.9
Plus ou moins rapide et plus ou moins...
03:29.0
Des médailles qui sont fabriquées par la monnaie de Paris.
03:33.0
Pendant tout ce temps, ils se sont entraînés pour atteindre le drame.
03:36.1
Et nous, on se voit à la hauteur de ce drame.
03:37.9
But I think that probably the medals tend to be distributed across multiple nations and so many nations
03:44.5
that in fact, you don't really notice in the medal table that there's anything going on.
03:50.7
That's only been the case in the past when we have, you know, taken Russia and then removed them.
03:55.9
But which we've, we have done because of various, the various things around Russia in the past.
04:01.3
So, I think they just get distributed, you know, one or two medals here and there.
04:05.8
And then in the end, that doesn't seem to make a great deal of difference.
04:09.0
The only major thing, of course, is that it means that there's an extra spot in the top 10.
04:14.5
But that's really the only difference, I think.
04:25.9
I'm pretty confident that the sort of rank order that we have in terms of total medals will be close to what actually happens.
04:53.7
I'd be happy to say on the basis of...
04:55.9
The data that we have that, you know, Australia should have its best Olympics probably since 2000.
05:01.7
And I think obviously the Dutch, now that they're winning more than 30 medals each time.
05:09.4
You know, I have hopes that, I think we've got the Dutch on 17 goals, which would be a record.
05:15.4
I mean, if that happens, it would be really astonishing.
05:17.9
The record for the Dutch is 12.
05:19.9
But we'll see if they can break that.
05:23.5
You know, I think I'd probably say they could be able to break that.
05:25.9
They could, given the numbers that we have.
05:28.0
But yeah, 17 is a big ask.
05:49.4
This guy here on the...
05:55.9
America is also a little bit, it's a little bit of a tricky one for us.
06:08.0
So I do have to admit that we have underestimated the United States at each of the last two Olympics for certain in terms of total medals.
06:19.8
That has something to do with their...
06:25.9
Olympic trials, I think.
06:27.7
I think that could work in two ways.
06:29.3
So first of all, people who we have in medal positions don't qualify.
06:32.8
And they're replaced by often younger, less experienced people who we don't have enough data for.
06:39.2
So they could be on the up, as it were.
06:44.3
So that's happened again this time.
06:46.0
So the medals for the United States went down by about 10 from the previous forecast that we had.
06:52.7
So it wouldn't surprise me to see the US picking up more medals than we've had.
06:55.9
So that's something that we've actually got now.
